Archive for May, 2010

Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund (SWF), the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), is reported by the Financial Times to be interested in buying some of the U.S. Treasury’s 27% stake in Citigroup. Interestingly, while most other SWFs have shied away from bank investments after previously ill-timed ones in 2008, Qatar has fared well, notably from its investments in Credit Suisse and Barclays, according to the FT. QIA has $65 billion in assets, per a ranking of SWF assets on Wikipedia. There appears to be no mention of asset size on QIA’s website. In any event, the principals of TradeFlow21 view QIA’s potential investment as beneficial for all parties, including the capital markets at large.

Emirates Business 24|7 reports that strong crude oil prices, currently at around $75/bbl and exceeding Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) forecasts, will greatly improve members’ fiscal and current accounts. It is debatable whether surpluses will reach the levels of the boom years of the recent past, but it seems certain the situation will be a solid improvement over 2009. Although Saudi Arabia is expected to run a small deficit, this is in fact due to its heavy capital investments, which TradeFlow21 has long recognized as critical to the Kingdom’s economic sustainability and at the same time offering an unprecedented opportunity for U.S. businesses. See clip from Emirates Business below and for more detailed information see hyperlink.
clipped from www.business24-7.ae

Record budget surplus likely for the bloc. Manageable deficit for some members due to public spending. (AFP)

Strong crude prices will bolster the fiscal position in Gulf oil producers in 2010, but some of them could still record a manageable budget deficit because of counter-crisis high public spending, according to analysts.
While the combined budgets of the six-nation Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) would likely record a surplus, as was the case in the previous nine years, some of them could suffer a relatively small shortfall despite an upsurge in their hydrocarbon earnings, they said. The experts believe four GCC members – the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman – would record surpluses while the budgets of Saudi Arabia, the largest Arab economy, and Bahrain would remain in a deficit.
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Less than two weeks ago, General Electric and Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Commerce and Industry announced that they signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU), effectively reinvigorating their 70-year relationship. It should come as no surprise that GE’s areas of core competence and drivers of future growth — energy, healthcare, transportation, and water — are the same areas targeted as key growth sectors for Saudi Arabia. TradeFlow21 views GE and Saudi Arabia as economic juggernauts: longstanding excellence in industrial know-how and manufacturing in the case of the former, and an agglomeration of capital and capital-intensive investment projects for economic sustainability for the latter. While news of such an MoU bodes very well both for GE and Saudi Arabia, and the global economy at large, unfortunately it was easily overshadowed by ongoing fears of the Greek debt crisis and most recently, the specter of panic selling on Wall Street last Thursday. Nevertheless, the founders of TradeFlow21 remain convinced that the Middle East, and Saudi Arabia in particular, represents both an opportunity and a model for real economic investment.

On Friday, the Associated Press reported that ICANN, the California-based nonprofit body which oversees management and assignment of internet domains, approved Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates as the first non-Latin domain names. While not readily apparent to the Western eye, make no mistake, this is big news for the Middle East and represents serious opportunity particularly in the e-commerce and relevant hardware spaces. Overall, the ICANN approval has profound implications for the region given the comparatively fewer number of people connected to the internet. See clip of AP report below.
clipped from www.google.com

Domain names in Arabic for Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were added to the Internet’s master directories on Wednesday, following final approval last month by the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers, or ICANN. It’s the first major change to the Internet domain name system since its creation in the 1980s.
“Introducing Arabic domain names is a milestone in Internet history,” Egyptian Communication and Information Technology Minister Tarek Kamel said in a statement. “This great step will open up new horizons for e-services in Egypt” as well as boosting the number of online users and enabling Internet service providers to enter new markets by “eliminating language barriers.”

ICANN, which cleared the way for non-Latin suffixes in October after years of debate, said the Mideast shows growth potential, with just a fifth of the populations online, on average.

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